Analyst Overvalued Stocks on the NAS October 2024

October 09, 2024

Analyst Overvalued

Companies on this list are considered overvalued based on the analyst consensus. This means that the average analyst target price is less than the close price.

NASDAQ

The National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (Nasdaq) located in New York City, is the most active stock exchange by volume in the United States.

About the Data

This table includes the close price and analyst target price mean from most recent available data. The fiscal year indicates the year for the analyst target price, as the target may not always be for the current year. The number of estimates indicates the number of analyst targets used to calculate the target price mean.

How do you use this table?

Analysts believe that the companies on this list will see the close price drop to their target price mean by the target year indicated. Companies with a large analyst following or large difference between close price and target price are particularly interesting to investigate further. This becomes a starting point for further analysis to understand why these companies are overvalued. Stocks in this category are generally sold to preserve capital.

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SymbolNameClose PriceTarget Price MeanTarget YearNumber of EstimatesCurrency
TSLA Tesla Inc 244.50 170.71 2025 7 USD
ARM ARM Holdings PLC 143.52 100.00 2025 1 USD
BKNG Booking Holdings Inc 4232.02 4134.00 2025 6 USD
ADP Automatic Data Processing Inc 285.42 268.50 2025 2 USD
KLAC KLA Corp 783.90 757.50 2025 2 USD
ORLY O'Reilly Automotive Inc 1167.03 1142.50 2025 4 USD
APP AppLovin Corp 143.45 125.00 2025 2 USD
TSCO Tractor Supply Co 303.79 271.00 2025 2 USD
EXPE Expedia Group Inc 151.95 137.50 2025 4 USD
LPLA LPL Financial Holdings Inc 238.75 215.00 2025 1 USD
All data provided as at market close October 08, 2024.

Company Details

Tesla Inc

TSLA:NAS

Close Price

244.50

Target Price Mean

170.71

Target Year

2025

Target Price # Estimates

7

Tesla is a vertically integrated battery electric vehicle automaker and developer of autonomous driving software. The company has multiple vehicles in its fleet, which include luxury and midsize sedans, crossover SUVs, a light truck, and a semi-truck. Tesla also plans to begin selling more affordable vehicles, and a sports car. Global deliveries in 2023 were a little over 1.8 million vehicles.

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ARM Holdings PLC

ARM:NAS

Close Price

143.52

Target Price Mean

100.00

Target Year

2025

Target Price # Estimates

1

Arm Holdings is the IP owner and developer of the ARM architecture (ARM stands for Acorn RISC Machine), which is used in 99% of the world's smartphone CPU cores, and it also has high market share in other battery-powered devices like wearables, tablets, or sensors. Arm licenses its architecture for a fee, offering different types of licenses depending on the flexibility the customer needs.

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Booking Holdings Inc

BKNG:NAS

Close Price

4232.02

Target Price Mean

4134.00

Target Year

2025

Target Price # Estimates

6

Booking is the world's largest online travel agency by sales, offering booking and payment services for hotel and alternative accommodation rooms, airline tickets, rental cars, restaurant reservations, cruises, experiences, and other vacation packages. The company operates several branded travel booking sites, including Booking.com, Agoda, OpenTable, and Rentalcars.com, and has expanded into travel media with the acquisitions of Kayak and Momondo.

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Automatic Data Processing Inc

ADP:NAS

Close Price

285.42

Target Price Mean

268.50

Target Year

2025

Target Price # Estimates

2

ADP is a provider of payroll and human capital management solutions servicing the full scope of businesses from micro to global enterprises. ADP was established in 1949 and serves over 1 million clients primarily in the United States. ADP's employer services segment offers payroll, human capital management solutions, human resources outsourcing, insurance and retirement services.

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KLA Corp

KLAC:NAS

Close Price

783.90

Target Price Mean

757.50

Target Year

2025

Target Price # Estimates

2

KLA is one of the largest semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment, or WFE, manufacturers in the world. It specializes in the market segment of semiconductor process control, wherein machines inspect semiconductor wafers during research and development and manufacturing for defects and verify precise measurements. In this section of the market, KLA holds a majority share. It also has a small exposure to the etch and deposition segments of the WFE market.

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O'Reilly Automotive Inc

ORLY:NAS

Close Price

1167.03

Target Price Mean

1142.50

Target Year

2025

Target Price # Estimates

4

O'Reilly is an aftermarket automotive parts retailer in the United States and Mexico with about $16 billion in annual sales. The company operates over 6,000 domestic stores and serves both the do-it-yourself (about 55% of sales) and professional (45% of sales) end markets. Despite operating amid a highly fragmented industry, O'Reilly differentiates itself by providing quality service to its customers throughout the entirety of the vehicle diagnosis and purchasing process.

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AppLovin Corp

APP:NAS

Close Price

143.45

Target Price Mean

125.00

Target Year

2025

Target Price # Estimates

2

AppLovin Corp is a mobile app technology company. It focuses on growing the mobile app ecosystem by enabling the success of mobile app developers. The company's software solutions provide tools for mobile app developers to grow their businesses by automating and optimizing the marketing and monetization of their applications.

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Tractor Supply Co

TSCO:NAS

Close Price

303.79

Target Price Mean

271.00

Target Year

2025

Target Price # Estimates

2

Tractor Supply is the largest operator of retail farm and ranch stores in the United States. The company targets recreational farmers and ranchers and has little exposure to commercial and industrial farm operations. Currently, the company operates 2,254 of its namesake banners in 49 states, including 81 Orscheln Farm and Home stores (rebranded as Tractor Supply), along with 205 Petsense by Tractor Supply stores.

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Expedia Group Inc

EXPE:NAS

Close Price

151.95

Target Price Mean

137.50

Target Year

2025

Target Price # Estimates

4

Expedia is the world's second-largest online travel agency by bookings, offering services for lodging (80% of total 2023 sales), air tickets (3%), rental cars, cruises, in-destination, and other (11%), and advertising revenue (6%). Expedia operates a number of branded travel booking sites, but its three core online travel agency brands are Expedia, Hotels.com, and Vrbo. It also has a metasearch brand, Trivago. Transaction fees for online bookings account for the bulk of sales and profits.

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LPL Financial Holdings Inc

LPLA:NAS

Close Price

238.75

Target Price Mean

215.00

Target Year

2025

Target Price # Estimates

1

LPL Financial Holdings is an independent broker/dealer that provides a platform of proprietary technology, brokerage, and investment advisory services to financial advisors and institutions. As of the end of June 2024, the company had over 23,000 advisors on its platform managing $1.5 trillion of client assets. The company doesn't have material operations outside of the United States.

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Tesla and ARM Holdings are among the most overvalued NAS stocks this month. See the most overvalued companies on the blog: https://www.stockcalc.com/Blog/analyst-overvalued-stocks-nas-october-2024
Tesla $TSLA and ARM Holdings $ARM on the #NAS among the most overvalued this month. See the full list of overvalued companies: https://www.stockcalc.com/Blog/analyst-overvalued-stocks-nas-october-2024
Tesla and ARM Holdings are among the most overvalued NAS stocks this month. See the most overvalued companies on the blog: https://www.stockcalc.com/Blog/analyst-overvalued-stocks-nas-october-2024

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