Houlihan Lokey (HLI:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Houlihan Lokey (HLI:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Houlihan Lokey(HLI:NYS)

Financial Services:Capital Markets

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$72.88 (USD) 05/25/2021

Weighted Valuation
$72.00 (USD)

Overall Rating
Fairly valued to slightly Overvalued by 1.2%

Valuation Models Adjusted Book Value: $68.71 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Undervalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Overvalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $72.00 this stock is Fairly valued

Company Overview (HLI:NYS USD)

Price 72.88
Range 72.88 – 74.81
52 week 53.41 – 74.41
Open 74.29
Vol / Avg. 209789/369726
Mkt cap 4.97B
P/E 16.02
Div/yield 1.30/0.02
EPS 4.55
Shares 68.2M
Beta 0.67

Company Description

Houlihan Lokey Inc is an investment bank with expertise in mergers and acquisitions, capital markets, financial restructuring, valuation, and strategic consulting. The firm serves corporations, institutions, and governments worldwide with offices in the United States, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific region. The company operates in three segments. In the Corporate Finance business segment, it provides M&A and capital markets advisory services. Through the Financial Restructuring business segment, the company advises on some of the complex restructurings around the world. Financial and Valuation Advisory Services business segment provides valuation and financial opinion, and financial and strategic consulting practices in the United States.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for HLI:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $113.10 (USD) for HLI:NYS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

HLI:NYS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $113.10 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 5.52 $141.51 $94.14
Terminal Growth Rate 0.50 $96.01 $138.69
Tax Rate 0.24 $119.50 $106.70
Cash Flow 455,843,109 $108.10 $118.10
Capital Expenditures -12,747,600 $112.97 $113.23
Long Term Debt 51,234,000 $113.14 $113.06

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $37.05 (USD) for HLI:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $76.45 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Donnelley Financial Solns (DFIN:NYS), Associated Capital Group (AC:NYS), PJT Partners (PJT:NYS), Moelis & (MC:NYS) and Virtu Financial (VIRT:NAS).

Company HLI:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $4.55 (USD)
Book Value/Share $20.29 (USD)
Sales/Share $22.21 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $8.44 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $6.17 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$48.15 (USD) -50.7
$133.03 (USD) -41.7
$45.23 (USD) -72.2
$49.34 (USD) -50.4
$48.22 (USD) 0.0
HLI:NYS Ratios Used Average Values DFIN:NYS AC:NYS PJT:NYS MC:NYS VIRT:NAS
16.02 PE Ratio 50.05 207.93 7.25 14.67 14.90 5.51
3.59 PB Ratio 6.56 3.53 0.87 18.37 6.66 3.35
3.28 PS Ratio 10.37 1.08 43.73 2.84 3.13 1.10
8.63 PCF Ratio 6.15 6.46 0.00 8.72 6.88 2.52
10.15 EV to EBITDA 7.82 10.70 3.32 9.55 10.19 5.35

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $87.83 (USD) for HLI:NYS

Company HLI:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $4.55 (USD)
Book Value/Share $20.29 (USD)
Sales/Share $22.21 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $8.44 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $6.17 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$91.68 (USD) 0
$69.51 (USD) 0
$65.67 (USD) 0
$120.92 (USD) 0
$91.39 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 20.15
PB Ratio 3.43
PS Ratio 2.96
PCF Ratio 14.32
EV to EBITDA 14.82

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  HLI:NYS for the last 6 years was  3.39

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  HLI:NYS and generated a book value of  $20.24 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $68.71 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 1 analysts that provide a valuation for HLI:NYS. The 1 analysts have a concensus valuation for HLI:NYS for 2022 of $72.00 (USD).

HLI:NYS Houlihan Lokey

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
0 2 0 3.0000 Hold 2021-5-24

Current Price: 72.88 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2022 2023 2024
Mean EPS 4.29 4.54 4.76
# EPS Analysts 2 2 1
Mean Revenue 1,471.30 1,546.80 1,565.70
# Revenue Analysts 2 2 1
Mean Target Price 72.00
Mean Cash Flow 4.35 4.65 5.04
Mean EBITDA 430.90 448.10
Mean Net Income 292.60 305.70 316.80
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate 28.00 28.00
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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