Silgan Hldgs (SLGN:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Silgan Hldgs (SLGN:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Silgan Hldgs(SLGN:NAS)

Consumer Cyclical:Packaging & Containers

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$43.27 (USD) 05/14/2021

Weighted Valuation
$48.08 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 11.1%

Valuation Models Adjusted Book Value: $48.10 (USD)
Multiples: $48.06 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Undervalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Undervalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $49.50 this stock is Undervalued

Company Overview (SLGN:NAS USD)

Price 43.27
Range 43.24 – 44.15
52 week 31.08 – 44.18
Open 43.93
Vol / Avg. 300420/355440
Mkt cap 4.78B
P/E 14.87
Div/yield 0.48/0.01
EPS 2.77
Shares 110.4M
Beta 0.75

Company Description

Silgan Holdings manufactures about half of the metal food containers in North America. Its major customers include Campbell Soup, Nestle, and Del Monte. Silgan is looking for more merger and acquisition opportunities in the European metal packaging market and in plastic packaging. Silgan’s other business segments include plastic containers for personal and healthcare products and a closures business that manufactures metal and plastic lids and caps.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for SLGN:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $118.96 (USD) for SLGN:NAS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

SLGN:NAS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $118.96 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 4.59 $156.76 $94.68
Terminal Growth Rate 0.00 $96.80 $153.46
Tax Rate 0.24 $127.52 $110.40
Cash Flow 870,838,389 $112.47 $125.45
Capital Expenditures 0 $118.96 $118.96
Long Term Debt 1,818,411,000 $119.78 $118.14

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $60.48 (USD) for SLGN:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $68.52 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Ranpak Holdings (PACK:NYS), Berry Global Group (BERY:NYS), Tupperware Brands (TUP:NYS), O-I Glass (OI:NYS) and Packaging Corp of America (PKG:NYS).

Company SLGN:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $2.91 (USD)
Book Value/Share $11.56 (USD)
Sales/Share $45.99 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $5.37 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $6.55 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$59.65 (USD) -21.5
$85.16 (USD) 6.8
$80.35 (USD) -21.4
$29.49 (USD) -6.6
$77.61 (USD) -3.6
SLGN:NAS Ratios Used Average Values PACK:NYS BERY:NYS TUP:NYS OI:NYS PKG:NYS
14.87 PE Ratio 20.50 0.00 13.49 8.96 29.30 30.25
3.74 PB Ratio 7.37 2.85 3.53 0.00 18.69 4.40
0.94 PS Ratio 1.75 4.51 0.76 0.83 0.49 2.16
8.06 PCF Ratio 10.93 22.47 5.77 7.56 4.09 14.75
10.39 EV to EBITDA 11.86 23.00 8.86 5.38 8.11 13.93

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $48.06 (USD) for SLGN:NAS

Company SLGN:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $2.91 (USD)
Book Value/Share $11.56 (USD)
Sales/Share $45.99 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $5.37 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $6.55 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$49.54 (USD) 0
$44.42 (USD) 0
$37.02 (USD) 0
$40.21 (USD) 0
$69.11 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 17.02
PB Ratio 3.84
PS Ratio 0.80
PCF Ratio 7.49
EV to EBITDA 10.56

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  SLGN:NAS for the last 10 years was  4.15

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  SLGN:NAS and generated a book value of  $11.60 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $48.10 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 2 analysts that provide a valuation for SLGN:NAS. The 2 analysts have a concensus valuation for SLGN:NAS for 2021 of $49.50 (USD).

SLGN:NAS Silgan Hldgs

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
2 0 0 5.0000 Buy 2021-5-13

Current Price: 43.27 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2021 2022 2023
Mean EPS 3.27 3.38 3.55
# EPS Analysts 3 3 1
Mean Revenue 5,418.50 5,582.60
# Revenue Analysts 3 3
Mean Target Price 49.50
Mean Cash Flow 4.70 5.35
Mean EBITDA 830.70 843.00
Mean Net Income 375.90 375.80
Mean Debt Outstanding 2,435.00 2,362.00
Mean Tax Rate 24.95 24.75
Mean Growth Rate 2.21
Mean Capital Expenditure 225.00 227.50

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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