Gladstone Investment (GAIN:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Gladstone Investment (GAIN:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Gladstone Investment(GAIN:NAS)

Financial Services:Asset Management

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$13.41 (USD) 05/14/2021

Weighted Valuation
$12.63 (USD)

Overall Rating
Overvalued by 5.9%

Valuation Models Adjusted Book Value: $10.56 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $14.00 this stock is Fairly valued

Company Overview (GAIN:NAS USD)

Price 13.41
Range 13.28 – 13.65
52 week 8.20 – 14.41
Open 13.55
Vol / Avg. 156066/177481
Mkt cap 445.28M
P/E 10.48
Div/yield 0.93/0.06
EPS 1.28
Shares 33.21M
Beta 1.52

Company Description

Gladstone Investment Corp is a business development company. The company’s investment objective is to invest in achieve and grow current income by investing in debt securities of established businesses that will provide stable earnings and cash flow, and provide its stockholders with long-term capital appreciation by investing in equity securities. The company’s investment sectors include Business service/distribution, Consumer products, and manufacturing. Its portfolio consists of following industries Conglomerate Services, Home and Office Furnishings, Housewares, Durable Consumer Products, Leisure, Motion Pictures, Entertainment, Conglomerate Manufacturing, Chemicals, Telecommunications, Aerospace and Defense, and others. Its investment activities are carried across the United States.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for GAIN:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $8.59 (USD) for GAIN:NAS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

GAIN:NAS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $8.59 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 12.76 $9.56 $7.80
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $7.93 $9.39
Tax Rate 0.40 $9.30 $7.87
Cash Flow 49,975,497 $8.16 $9.02
Capital Expenditures 0 $8.59 $8.59
Long Term Debt 0 $8.59 $8.59

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $35.00 (USD) for GAIN:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $15.12 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Invesco Advantage (VKI:ASE), Neuberger Berman MLP (NML:ASE), NEUBERGER BERMAN REAL (NRO:ASE), Franklin Duration Income (FTF:ASE) and ABERDEEN EMERGING MARKETS (AEF:ASE).

Company GAIN:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.28 (USD)
Book Value/Share $11.52 (USD)
Sales/Share $1.47 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share ($0.90) (USD)
EBITDA/Share $1.41 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$51.21 (USD) 30.2
$11.97 (USD) -72.2
$57.45 (USD) 39.4
($4.56) (USD) -91.5
$0.00 (USD) 31.1
GAIN:NAS Ratios Used Average Values VKI:ASE NML:ASE NRO:ASE FTF:ASE AEF:ASE
10.48 PE Ratio 40.01 85.86 0.00 0.00 25.64 8.52
1.16 PB Ratio 1.04 1.00 1.11 1.19 0.98 0.92
9.13 PS Ratio 39.12 84.87 0.00 0.00 24.20 8.27
0.00 PCF Ratio 7.19 12.17 2.11 2.82 11.66 0.00
0.00 EV to EBITDA 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $9.55 (USD) for GAIN:NAS

Company GAIN:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.28 (USD)
Book Value/Share $11.52 (USD)
Sales/Share $1.47 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share ($0.90) (USD)
EBITDA/Share $1.41 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$8.29 (USD) 0
$11.02 (USD) 0
$8.03 (USD) 0
$0.00 (USD) 0
$10.84 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 6.48
PB Ratio 0.96
PS Ratio 5.47
PCF Ratio 6.21
EV to EBITDA 7.67

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  GAIN:NAS for the last 10 years was  0.92

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  GAIN:NAS and generated a book value of  $11.52 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $10.56 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 1 analysts that provide a valuation for GAIN:NAS. The 1 analysts have a concensus valuation for GAIN:NAS for 2022 of $14.00 (USD).

GAIN:NAS Gladstone Investment

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
0 2 0 3.0000 Hold 2021-5-13

Current Price: 13.41 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2022 2023
Mean EPS 0.79 0.84
# EPS Analysts 2 1
Mean Revenue 60.80 67.60
# Revenue Analysts 2 1
Mean Target Price 14.00
Mean Cash Flow
Mean EBITDA
Mean Net Income 26.20 27.80
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate
Mean Growth Rate 3.00
Mean Capital Expenditure

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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