Innergex Renewable Energy (INE:TSE) Fundamental Valuation Report

Innergex Renewable Energy (INE:TSE) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Innergex Renewable Energy(INE:TSE)

Utilities:Utilities – Renewable

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$21.00 (CAD) 04/30/2021

Weighted Valuation
$24.19 (CAD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 15.2%

Valuation Models Adjusted Book Value: $24.20 (CAD)
Comparables: $24.18 (CAD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Undervalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $27.27 this stock is Undervalued

Company Overview (INE:TSE CAD)

Price 21.00
Range 20.83 – 21.84
52 week 18.02 – 32.15
Open 21.84
Vol / Avg. 1.12M/1.66M
Mkt cap 3.67B
P/E 254.75
Div/yield 0.72/0.03
EPS -0.23
Shares 174.58M
Beta 0.22

Company Description

Innergex Renewable Energy Inc is an independent Canadian renewable power producer. It develops, acquires, owns, and operates hydroelectric, wind, and solar facilities in Canada, the United States, France, and Chile. Most of the energy that the company generates comes from its hydroelectric facilities. Innergex Renewable Energy primarily generates revenue through the sale of electricity from its hydroelectric sites. The company’s wind farms also generate substantial amounts of energy and revenue.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for INE:TSE

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of ($2.19) (CAD) for INE:TSE

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $26.00 (CAD) for INE:TSE. We also generated a valuation of $24.18 (CAD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were TransAlta Renewables (RNW:TSE), Algonquin Power (AQN:TSE), Northland Power (NPI:TSE), Boralex (BLX:TSE) and Brookfield Renewable (BEPC:TSE).

Company INE:TSE End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($0.23) (CAD)
Book Value/Share $5.78 (CAD)
Sales/Share $3.60 (CAD)
Cash Flow/Share $1.38 (CAD)
EBITDA/Share $2.56 (CAD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$0.00 (CAD) 92.0
$25.01 (CAD) 66.6
$21.54 (CAD) 7.9
($12.21) (CAD) 44.3
$37.74 (CAD) 71.1
INE:TSE Ratios Used Average Values RNW:TSE AQN:TSE NPI:TSE BLX:TSE BEPC:TSE
0.00 PE Ratio 40.81 55.63 11.79 24.19 71.64 0.00
3.63 PB Ratio 4.33 2.30 1.93 7.25 4.09 6.07
5.83 PS Ratio 5.98 11.88 5.44 4.13 6.14 2.31
15.21 PCF Ratio 12.37 19.40 18.04 6.44 10.74 7.20
19.45 EV to EBITDA 14.72 18.16 11.08 11.28 18.39 0.00

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $25.31 (CAD) for INE:TSE

Company INE:TSE End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($0.23) (CAD)
Book Value/Share $5.78 (CAD)
Sales/Share $3.60 (CAD)
Cash Flow/Share $1.38 (CAD)
EBITDA/Share $2.56 (CAD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$0.00 (CAD) 0
$26.01 (CAD) 0
$16.60 (CAD) 0
$13.07 (CAD) 0
$45.56 (CAD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 91.23
PB Ratio 4.50
PS Ratio 4.61
PCF Ratio 9.47
EV to EBITDA 17.77

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  INE:TSE for the last 10 years was  4.19

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  INE:TSE and generated a book value of  $5.78 (CAD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $24.20 (CAD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 11 analysts that provide a valuation for INE:TSE. The 11 analysts have a concensus valuation for INE:TSE for 2021 of $27.27 (CAD).

INE:TSE Innergex Renewable Energy

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
3 6 1 3.4545 Hold 2021-4-29

Current Price: 21 CAD

Analyst Consensus
CAD Millions 2021 2022 2023
Mean EPS 0.19 0.34 0.36
# EPS Analysts 8 8 3
Mean Revenue 725.30 756.20 821.40
# Revenue Analysts 8 8 3
Mean Target Price 27.27
Mean Cash Flow 1.15 1.65 1.72
Mean EBITDA
Mean Net Income
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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