Yelp (YELP:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Yelp (YELP:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Yelp(YELP:NYS)

Communication Services:Internet Content & Information

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$39.71 (USD) 04/12/2021

Weighted Valuation
$37.87 (USD)

Overall Rating
Fairly valued to slightly Overvalued by 4.6%

Valuation Models Adjusted Book Value: $36.15 (USD)
Multiples: $33.40 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $40.50 this stock is Fairly valued

Company Overview (YELP:NYS USD)

Price 39.71
Range 39.39 – 40.65
52 week 18.34 – 43.43
Open 40.43
Vol / Avg. 479651/775297
Mkt cap 2.98B
P/E 78.29
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS -0.27
Shares 74.93M
Beta 1.88

Company Description

Yelp Inc operates in the online content market based primarily in the United States. It provides a web-based platform and mobile application to bridge the gap between businesses and consumers. The platform assists consumers through product reviews, tips, photos and videos thereby enabling them in making better buying decisions and posting their feedbacks. It also caters to businesses in reaching out to potential customers by providing advertising space. In addition, it also lets the buyers directly transact with businesses directly through its platform. Yelp generates revenue mainly from the sale of advertising on its website and mobile app to businesses.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for YELP:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $8.12 (USD) for YELP:NYS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

YELP:NYS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $8.12 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 13.52 $9.05 $7.34
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $7.44 $8.93
Tax Rate 0.27 $9.02 $7.21
Cash Flow 178,499,000 $7.39 $8.84
Capital Expenditures -26,575,400 $8.02 $8.21
Long Term Debt 0 $8.12 $8.12

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $74.36 (USD) for YELP:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $79.18 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Cardlytics (CDLX:NAS), CarGurus (CARG:NAS), Liberty TripAdvisor Hldgs (LTRPB:NAS), GrubHub (GRUB:NYS) and TrueCar (TRUE:NAS).

Company YELP:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($0.27) (USD)
Book Value/Share $11.40 (USD)
Sales/Share $11.96 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $2.42 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $0.21 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$0.00 (USD) 0.0
$102.18 (USD) 24.7
$75.28 (USD) 38.5
$58.86 (USD) 0.0
$6.90 (USD) 0.0
YELP:NYS Ratios Used Average Values CDLX:NAS CARG:NAS LTRPB:NAS GRUB:NYS TRUE:NAS
0.00 PE Ratio 35.24 0.00 35.24 0.00 0.00 0.00
3.48 PB Ratio 8.96 22.70 7.49 0.00 4.40 1.25
3.32 PS Ratio 6.30 16.35 4.95 4.93 3.39 1.85
16.41 PCF Ratio 25.45 0.00 17.40 0.00 45.76 13.18
163.87 EV to EBITDA 32.13 0.00 23.63 0.00 0.00 40.63

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $33.40 (USD) for YELP:NYS

Company YELP:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($0.27) (USD)
Book Value/Share $11.40 (USD)
Sales/Share $11.96 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $2.42 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $0.21 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$0.00 (USD) 0
$35.76 (USD) 0
$40.92 (USD) 0
$47.14 (USD) 0
$9.80 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 43.53
PB Ratio 3.14
PS Ratio 3.42
PCF Ratio 19.48
EV to EBITDA 45.65

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  YELP:NYS for the last 9 years was  3.18

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  YELP:NYS and generated a book value of  $11.35 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $36.15 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 2 analysts that provide a valuation for YELP:NYS. The 2 analysts have a concensus valuation for YELP:NYS for 2021 of $40.50 (USD).

YELP:NYS Yelp

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
1 1 0 4.0000 Outperform 2021-4-9

Current Price: 39.71 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2021 2022 2023
Mean EPS 0.61 1.11 1.26
# EPS Analysts 2 2 2
Mean Revenue 999.20 1,140.40 1,217.50
# Revenue Analysts 2 2 2
Mean Target Price 40.50
Mean Cash Flow 0.73 1.91 2.11
Mean EBITDA 103.20 158.80 173.30
Mean Net Income 47.30 85.80 98.70
Mean Debt Outstanding -601.50 -837.70 -1,089.00
Mean Tax Rate
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure 28.50 32.80 35.40

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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