Pinnacle Finl Partners (PNFP:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Pinnacle Finl Partners (PNFP:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Pinnacle Finl Partners(PNFP:NAS)

Financial Services:Banks – Regional

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$89.56 (USD) 03/30/2021

Weighted Valuation
$92.05 (USD)

Overall Rating
Fairly valued to slightly Undervalued by 2.8%

Valuation Models Adjusted Book Value: $91.45 (USD)
(in order of importance) Discounted Cash Flow: $99.70 (USD)
Multiples: $78.55 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Undervalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Fairly valued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $67.00 this stock is Overvalued

Company Overview (PNFP:NAS USD)

Price 89.56
Range 88.77 – 90.17
52 week 33.24 – 93.58
Open 89.35
Vol / Avg. 314228/505058
Mkt cap 6.81B
P/E 22.22
Div/yield 0.64/0.01
EPS 4.03
Shares 75.99M
Beta 1.39

Company Description

Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc is a bank holding company. The company operates through its wholly owned subsidiary, Pinnacle Bank. The bank provides a full range of lending products, including commercial, real estate, and consumer loans to individuals and small to medium-size businesses. Pinnacle operates as a community bank primarily in the urban markets of Nashville, Knoxville, Memphis, and Chattanooga, Tennessee, as well as surrounding counties. Its strategy relies heavily on mergers and acquisitions. A majority of its loan portfolio is in commercial loans, primarily real estate, as well as industrial loans. The bank generates a majority of its net revenue through net interest income.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for PNFP:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $99.70 (USD) for PNFP:NAS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

PNFP:NAS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $99.70 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 9.72 $117.20 $86.73
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $88.27 $115.12
Tax Rate 0.16 $105.62 $93.77
Cash Flow 663,128,395 $94.72 $104.67
Capital Expenditures 1,048,684 $99.70 $99.69
Long Term Debt 0 $99.70 $99.70

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $138.96 (USD) for PNFP:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $79.69 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were TFS Financial (TFSL:NAS), Home BancShares (HOMB:NAS), Tompkins Financial (TMP:ASE), UMB Financial (UMBF:NAS) and Umpqua Holdings (UMPQ:NAS).

Company PNFP:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $4.03 (USD)
Book Value/Share $61.68 (USD)
Sales/Share $13.07 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $5.66 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $7.67 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$125.12 (USD) -4.8
$122.45 (USD) 13.3
$95.89 (USD) 81.3
$124.71 (USD) -16.1
$0.00 (USD) 0.0
PNFP:NAS Ratios Used Average Values TFSL:NAS HOMB:NAS TMP:ASE UMBF:NAS UMPQ:NAS
22.22 PE Ratio 31.05 71.24 20.99 16.23 15.73 0.00
1.45 PB Ratio 1.99 3.50 1.73 1.76 1.49 1.45
6.85 PS Ratio 7.34 19.16 6.59 4.20 3.70 3.03
15.84 PCF Ratio 26.16 49.24 15.47 12.27 12.07 41.78
0.00 EV to EBITDA 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $78.55 (USD) for PNFP:NAS

Company PNFP:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $4.03 (USD)
Book Value/Share $61.68 (USD)
Sales/Share $13.07 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $5.66 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $7.67 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$71.77 (USD) 0
$77.44 (USD) 0
$72.99 (USD) 0
$92.00 (USD) 0
$0.00 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 17.81
PB Ratio 1.26
PS Ratio 5.58
PCF Ratio 16.27
EV to EBITDA 0.00

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  PNFP:NAS for the last 10 years was  1.42

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  PNFP:NAS and generated a book value of  $64.62 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $91.45 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 1 analysts that provide a valuation for PNFP:NAS. The 1 analysts have a concensus valuation for PNFP:NAS for 2021 of $67.00 (USD).

PNFP:NAS Pinnacle Finl Partners

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
1 1 0 4.0000 Outperform 2021-3-29

Current Price: 89.56 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2021 2022 2023
Mean EPS 5.03 5.26 5.54
# EPS Analysts 2 2 1
Mean Revenue 1,242.30 1,274.60 1,365.10
# Revenue Analysts 1 1 1
Mean Target Price 67.00
Mean Cash Flow 5.05 5.31 5.67
Mean EBITDA
Mean Net Income 377.90 391.50 407.90
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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