MongoDB (MDB:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

MongoDB (MDB:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

MongoDB(MDB:NAS)

Technology:Software – Infrastructure

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$305.00 (USD) 03/23/2021

Weighted Valuation
$261.56 (USD)

Overall Rating
Overvalued by 14.2%

Valuation Models Comparables: $221.02 (USD)
Multiples: $227.43 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Overvalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $381.67 this stock is Undervalued

Company Overview (MDB:NAS USD)

Price 305.00
Range 303.25 – 310.82
52 week 120.47 – 422.85
Open 306.76
Vol / Avg. 373522/1.06M
Mkt cap 18.66B
P/E 0.00
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS -4.53
Shares 61.19M
Beta 0.00

Company Description

MongoDB Inc is a US-based general-purpose database platform. The company provides database platform to run applications at scale across a varied range of use cases in the cloud, on-premise and in a hybrid environment. The platform addresses the performance, scalability, flexibility and reliability demands of modern applications while maintaining the core capabilities of legacy databases. The commercial database products of the company include MongoDB Enterprise Server, MongoDB Atlas, Community Server, MongoDB Stitch, and others. The company also provides professional services to customers, including consulting and training. The majority of the company’s revenue comes from the United States.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for MDB:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of ($1.36) (USD) for MDB:NAS

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $216.13 (USD) for MDB:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $221.02 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Dropbox (DBX:NAS), Zscaler (ZS:NAS), Okta (OKTA:NAS), BlackLine (BL:NAS) and Nutanix (NTNX:NAS).

Company MDB:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($4.53) (USD)
Book Value/Share ($0.08) (USD)
Sales/Share $10.01 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share ($0.72) (USD)
EBITDA/Share ($3.09) (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$0.00 (USD) 0.0
$0.00 (USD) 0.0
$216.13 (USD) 0.0
($16.60) (USD) 0.0
$0.00 (USD) 0.0
MDB:NAS Ratios Used Average Values DBX:NAS ZS:NAS OKTA:NAS BL:NAS NTNX:NAS
0.00 PE Ratio 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
0.00 PB Ratio 35.40 33.98 49.49 42.65 15.48 0.00
30.47 PS Ratio 21.59 5.92 45.22 34.36 18.27 4.20
0.00 PCF Ratio 134.82 19.85 177.71 224.30 117.40 0.00
0.00 EV to EBITDA 602.61 40.43 0.00 0.00 1164.79 0.00

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $227.43 (USD) for MDB:NAS

Company MDB:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($4.53) (USD)
Book Value/Share ($0.08) (USD)
Sales/Share $10.01 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share ($0.72) (USD)
EBITDA/Share ($3.09) (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$0.00 (USD) 0
$0.00 (USD) 0
$227.43 (USD) 0
$0.00 (USD) 0
$0.00 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 0.00
PB Ratio 30.92
PS Ratio 22.72
PCF Ratio 0.00
EV to EBITDA 0.00

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  MDB:NAS for the last 4 years was  30.92

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  MDB:NAS and generated a book value of  ($0.08) (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  ($2.56) (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 3 analysts that provide a valuation for MDB:NAS. The 3 analysts have a concensus valuation for MDB:NAS for 2022 of $381.67 (USD).

MDB:NAS MongoDB

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
4 0 0 5.0000 Buy 2021-3-22

Current Price: 305 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2022 2023
Mean EPS -1.45 -1.26
# EPS Analysts 4 4
Mean Revenue 758.90 941.00
# Revenue Analysts 3 3
Mean Target Price 381.67
Mean Cash Flow -0.89 -0.89
Mean EBITDA
Mean Net Income -91.00 -81.90
Mean Debt Outstanding 117.00 209.00
Mean Tax Rate 1.00 1.00
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure 9.10 11.20

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

Notice to User


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