LCI Indus (LCII:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

LCI Indus (LCII:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

LCI Indus(LCII:NYS)

Consumer Cyclical:Recreational Vehicles

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$129.49 (USD) 03/25/2021

Weighted Valuation
$123.62 (USD)

Overall Rating
Fairly valued to slightly Overvalued by 4.5%

Valuation Models Discounted Cash Flow: $116.47 (USD)
(in order of importance) Comparables: $132.11 (USD)
Adjusted Book Value: $128.08 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Fairly valued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Fairly valued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $162.00 this stock is Undervalued

Company Overview (LCII:NYS USD)

Price 129.49
Range 123.51 – 130.28
52 week 57.09 – 152.96
Open 124.91
Vol / Avg. 118135/165124
Mkt cap 3.26B
P/E 20.65
Div/yield 2.80/0.02
EPS 6.27
Shares 25.16M
Beta 1.64

Company Description

LCI Industries Inc supplies domestically and internationally components for the original equipment manufacturers of recreational vehicles and adjacent industries including buses; trailers used to haul boats, livestock, equipment and other cargo. It has two reportable segments the original equipment manufacturers segment and the aftermarket segment. The OEM Segment manufactures or distributes components for the OEMs of RVs and adjacent industries, including buses; trailers used to haul boats, livestock, equipment and other cargo; trucks; pontoon boats; trains; manufactured homes; and modular housing. Its products are sold primarily to major manufacturers of RVs such as Thor Industries, Forest River, Winnebago and other RV OEMs, and to manufacturers in adjacent industries.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for LCII:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $116.47 (USD) for LCII:NYS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

LCII:NYS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $116.47 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 9.50 $137.72 $100.88
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $102.58 $135.42
Tax Rate 0.24 $125.45 $107.50
Cash Flow 316,186,961 $109.69 $123.25
Capital Expenditures 233,000 $116.48 $116.47
Long Term Debt 49,940,000 $116.57 $116.37

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $132.11 (USD) for LCII:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $167.39 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Patrick Industries (PATK:NAS), Malibu Boats (MBUU:NAS), Fox Factory Holding (FOXF:NAS), OneWater Marine (ONEW:NAS) and MasterCraft Boat Hldgs (MCFT:NAS).

Company LCII:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $6.27 (USD)
Book Value/Share $36.10 (USD)
Sales/Share $110.72 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $9.16 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $12.71 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$173.08 (USD) -15.0
$198.93 (USD) -84.7
$241.07 (USD) -19.7
$156.94 (USD) -21.8
$232.10 (USD) -29.2
LCII:NYS Ratios Used Average Values PATK:NAS MBUU:NAS FOXF:NAS ONEW:NAS MCFT:NAS
20.65 PE Ratio 27.60 19.33 23.37 57.07 10.65 0.00
3.59 PB Ratio 5.51 3.42 5.46 7.37 4.22 7.07
1.17 PS Ratio 2.18 0.75 2.45 5.80 0.53 1.34
14.13 PCF Ratio 20.79 11.71 14.55 62.49 2.71 12.47
12.63 EV to EBITDA 18.27 11.37 15.11 37.07 9.51 0.00

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $128.51 (USD) for LCII:NYS

Company LCII:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $6.27 (USD)
Book Value/Share $36.10 (USD)
Sales/Share $110.72 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $9.16 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $12.71 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$122.31 (USD) 0
$132.45 (USD) 0
$133.22 (USD) 0
$120.97 (USD) 0
$133.60 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 19.51
PB Ratio 3.67
PS Ratio 1.20
PCF Ratio 13.20
EV to EBITDA 10.51

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  LCII:NYS for the last 10 years was  3.55

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  LCII:NYS and generated a book value of  $36.11 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $128.08 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 1 analysts that provide a valuation for LCII:NYS. The 1 analysts have a concensus valuation for LCII:NYS for 2021 of $162.00 (USD).

LCII:NYS LCI Indus

No analyst recommendation
Current Price: not available

No analyst consensus

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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