Green Dot (GDOT:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Green Dot(GDOT:NYS)

Financial Services:Credit Services

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$51.10 (USD) 03/17/2021

Weighted Valuation
$50.10 (USD)

Overall Rating
Fairly valued to slightly Overvalued by 1.9%

Valuation Models Adjusted Book Value: $41.26 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Overvalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $56.00 this stock is Undervalued

Company Overview (GDOT:NYS USD)

Price 51.10
Range 49.84 – 51.22
52 week 16.98 – 64.60
Open 50.14
Vol / Avg. 470402/607281
Mkt cap 2.77B
P/E 121.67
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS 0.42
Shares 54.16M
Beta 1.04

Company Description

Green Dot is a financial technology company that provides financial services for consumers in the United States without good banking options. Through its Account Services segment, the company offers GoBank mobile checking and Visa- or Mastercard-branded prepaid debit cards, both reloadable and non-reloadable. Green Dot also supplies private-label reloadable cards for Wal-Mart. Account services revenue is generated through monthly maintenance fees, ATM fees, new card fees, and interchange fees. The company’s Processing and Settlement Services segment generates revenue through service fees on debit card reloads and tax refund processing. The tax refund processing business earns fees when customers of third-party tax preparers choose to pay the preparer’s fee through Green Dot’s service.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for GDOT:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of ($2.43) (USD) for GDOT:NYS

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $24.25 (USD) for GDOT:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $50.12 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were CURO Group Holdings (CURO:NYS), Goldman Sachs BDC (GSBD:NYS), LendingClub (LC:NYS), Navient (NAVI:NAS) and Enova International (ENVA:NYS).

Company GDOT:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $0.42 (USD)
Book Value/Share $18.65 (USD)
Sales/Share $23.35 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $3.90 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $2.14 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$2.51 (USD) 72.7
$40.81 (USD) -17.5
$80.38 (USD) -17.7
$11.99 (USD) 17.7
$8.04 (USD) -67.3
GDOT:NYS Ratios Used Average Values CURO:NYS GSBD:NYS LC:NYS NAVI:NAS ENVA:NYS
121.67 PE Ratio 5.97 8.40 6.17 0.00 6.21 3.10
2.74 PB Ratio 2.19 4.68 1.26 2.57 0.99 1.43
2.19 PS Ratio 3.44 0.84 7.40 6.37 1.52 1.08
13.11 PCF Ratio 3.20 1.54 6.54 3.71 2.60 1.58
11.31 EV to EBITDA 3.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.75

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $37.05 (USD) for GDOT:NYS

Company GDOT:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $0.42 (USD)
Book Value/Share $18.65 (USD)
Sales/Share $23.35 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $3.90 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $2.14 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$15.29 (USD) 0
$49.96 (USD) 0
$53.92 (USD) 0
$51.15 (USD) 0
$14.92 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 36.39
PB Ratio 2.68
PS Ratio 2.31
PCF Ratio 13.13
EV to EBITDA 6.97

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  GDOT:NYS for the last 10 years was  2.21

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  GDOT:NYS and generated a book value of  $18.69 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $41.26 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 1 analysts that provide a valuation for GDOT:NYS. The 1 analysts have a concensus valuation for GDOT:NYS for 2021 of $56.00 (USD).

GDOT:NYS Green Dot

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
0 1 0 3.0000 Hold 2021-3-16

Current Price: 51.1 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2021
Mean EPS 2.08
# EPS Analysts 1
Mean Revenue 1,296.70
# Revenue Analysts 1
Mean Target Price 56.00
Mean Cash Flow
Mean EBITDA
Mean Net Income 117.40
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate 27.00
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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