Children’s Place (PLCE:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Children’s Place(PLCE:NAS)

Consumer Cyclical:Apparel Retail

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$27.39 (USD) 09/25/2020

Weighted Valuation
$25.38 (USD)

Overall Rating
Overvalued by 7.3%

Valuation Models Comparables: $25.38 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Undervalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation
According to Analyst consensus at $20.00 this stock is Overvalued

Company Overview (PLCE:NAS USD)

Price 27.39
Range 26.57 – 27.51
52 week 14.06 – 86.76
Open 26.79
Vol / Avg. 713621/1.64M
Mkt cap 399.56M
P/E 9.66
Div/yield 2.24/0.04
EPS 4.68
Shares 14.59M
Beta 1.83

Company Description

Children’s Place Inc is a specialty retailer that sells accessories, footwear, and other items for children. The company has over a thousand stores in North America and also sells through its website and wholesale. It reaches more than a dozen other countries, with franchise partners operating stores, shops, or e-commerce sites. The company leases all of its retail stores, and most are located in malls. Children’s Place has one distribution center in the United States and one in Canada to support operations in those countries. It uses third-party providers to support operations in other countries. The company sources its product from well over 100 vendors, which are primarily located in Asia.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for PLCE:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $64.63 (USD) for PLCE:NAS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

PLCE:NAS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $64.63 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 8.81 $80.41 $53.51
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $54.31 $79.23
Tax Rate 0.17 $70.95 $58.30
Cash Flow 132,149,000 $59.12 $70.14
Capital Expenditures -8,429,000 $64.29 $64.97
Long Term Debt 43,860,000 $64.78 $64.48

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $44.62 (USD) for PLCE:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $25.38 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Buckle (BKE:NYS), Cato (CATO:NYS), Chico’s FAS (CHS:NYS), Citi Trends (CTRN:NAS) and Genesco (GCO:NYS).

Company PLCE:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($6.74) (USD)
Book Value/Share $4.22 (USD)
Sales/Share $111.00 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $4.77 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $21.40 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$0.00 (USD) -18.8
$4.92 (USD) -37.3
$46.38 (USD) -31.7
($21.55) (USD) -35.1
$0.00 (USD) -19.1
PLCE:NAS Ratios Used Average Values BKE:NYS CATO:NYS CHS:NYS CTRN:NAS GCO:NYS
0.00 PE Ratio 24.13 10.36 0.00 0.00 37.89 0.00
6.50 PB Ratio 1.17 2.42 0.72 0.40 1.55 0.74
0.25 PS Ratio 0.42 1.20 0.28 0.07 0.36 0.17
5.74 PCF Ratio 3.95 6.88 0.00 0.00 3.35 1.61
14.42 EV to EBITDA 9.48 7.31 0.00 0.00 11.66 0.00

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $85.46 (USD) for PLCE:NAS

Company PLCE:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($6.74) (USD)
Book Value/Share $4.22 (USD)
Sales/Share $111.00 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $4.77 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $21.40 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$0.00 (USD) 0
$17.15 (USD) 0
$102.87 (USD) 0
$42.38 (USD) 0
$179.46 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 20.52
PB Ratio 4.07
PS Ratio 0.93
PCF Ratio 8.89
EV to EBITDA 8.39

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  PLCE:NAS for the last 10 years was  3.68

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  PLCE:NAS and generated a book value of  $4.18 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $15.39 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 1 analysts that provide a valuation for PLCE:NAS. The 1 analysts have a concensus valuation for PLCE:NAS for 2021 of $20.00 (USD).

PLCE:NAS Children’s Place

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
0 1 0 3.0000 Hold 2020-9-24

Current Price: 27.39 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2021 2022 2023
Mean EPS -4.90 0.80 2.50
# EPS Analysts 1 1 1
Mean Revenue 1,406.70 1,545.90 1,705.30
# Revenue Analysts 1 1 1
Mean Target Price 20.00
Mean Cash Flow -0.12 5.61 7.31
Mean EBITDA -11.40 99.90 128.30
Mean Net Income -71.40 11.60 36.30
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure 28.10 54.10 51.20

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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