Logitech International (LOGI:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Logitech International(LOGI:NAS)

Technology:Computer Systems

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$33.33 (USD) 11/01/2019

Weighted Valuation
$44.35 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 33.1%

Valuation Models Analyst Consensus: $51.78 (USD)
(in order of importance) Discounted Cash Flow: $30.44 (USD)
Comparables: $49.86 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Overvalued on an Asset Valuation

Company Overview (LOGI:NAS USD)

Price 0.00
Range 0.00 – 0.00
52 week 0.00 – 0.00
Open 0.00
Vol / Avg. 0/0
Mkt cap 0
P/E 0.00
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS 0.00
Shares 0
Beta 0.00

Company Description

Logitech International SA is a Switzerland-based provider of personal computer and mobile accessories for navigation, video communication and collaboration, smart home, and other applications. Its product portfolio includes mice, keyboards, charging stands, tablet cases, car mounts for mobile devices, remotes, home cameras, home switches, controllers, bluetooth speakers, surround sound, webcams, and conference cameras. The firm generates revenue in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific regions.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for LOGI:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $30.44 (USD) for LOGI:NAS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

LOGI:NAS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $30.44 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 10.34 $35.36 $26.70
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $27.17 $34.75
Tax Rate 0.10 $32.16 $28.72
Cash Flow 497,078,000 $28.80 $32.08
Capital Expenditures -44,015,600 $30.31 $30.57
Long Term Debt 0 $30.44 $30.44

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $49.86 (USD) for LOGI:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $51.63 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were Arista Networks (ANET:NYS) and Mercury Systems (MRCY:NAS).

Company LOGI:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.29 (USD)
Book Value/Share $6.11 (USD)
Sales/Share $15.99 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $2.22 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $1.67 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$89.60 (USD) 92.5
$33.95 (USD) 9.8
$101.02 (USD) -32.5
$93.51 (USD) -60.6
$67.90 (USD) -15.9
LOGI:NAS Ratios Used Average Values ANET:NYS MRCY:NAS
24.25 PE Ratio 69.46 65.03 73.89
5.12 PB Ratio 5.56 8.17 2.95
1.96 PS Ratio 6.32 8.40 4.23
14.07 PCF Ratio 42.06 43.50 40.62
15.39 EV to EBITDA 40.78 55.20 26.35

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $33.31 (USD) for LOGI:NAS

Company LOGI:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $1.29 (USD)
Book Value/Share $6.11 (USD)
Sales/Share $15.99 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $2.22 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $1.67 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$34.83 (USD) 0
$30.40 (USD) 0
$29.57 (USD) 0
$39.35 (USD) 0
$32.41 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 27.00
PB Ratio 4.98
PS Ratio 1.85
PCF Ratio 17.70
EV to EBITDA 19.46

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  LOGI:NAS for the last 10 years was  4.76

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  LOGI:NAS and generated a book value of  $6.15 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $29.25 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 2 analysts that provide a valuation for LOGI:NAS. The 2 analysts have a concensus valuation for LOGI:NAS for 2020 of $51.78 (USD).

LOGI:NAS Logitech International

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
2 0 0 5.0000 Buy 2019-1-10

Current Price: 33.33 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2019 2020 2021
Mean EPS 1.78 2.13 2.49
# EPS Analysts 2 2 2
Mean Revenue 2,845.50 3,139.60 3,419.50
# Revenue Analysts 2 2 2
Mean Target Price 51.78
Mean Cash Flow 1.80 2.42 2.73
Mean EBITDA 353.80 419.10 482.60
Mean Net Income 313.50 358.80 416.80
Mean Debt Outstanding -577.20 -677.10 -949.00
Mean Tax Rate 4.50 7.50 7.50
Mean Growth Rate 10.00
Mean Capital Expenditure 113.10 58.60 62.50

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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