Virtusa (VRTU:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Virtusa(VRTU:NAS)

Technology:Information Technology Services

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$46.24 (USD) 10/01/2019

Weighted Valuation
$56.05 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 21.2%

Valuation Models Analyst Consensus: $63.00 (USD)
(in order of importance) Adjusted Book Value: $48.12 (USD)
Multiples: $51.06 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Overvalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Fairly valued on an Asset Valuation

Company Overview (VRTU:NAS USD)

Price 46.24
Range 44.48 – 46.27
52 week 38.07 – 58.30
Open 44.62
Vol / Avg. 144876/218467
Mkt cap 1.38B
P/E 0.00
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS -0.09
Shares 29.91M
Beta 1.03

Company Description

Virtusa Corp provides a range of information technology, or IT, services. The company organizes its services into three categories: business and IT consulting, technology implementation, and application outsourcing. The business and IT consulting services include IT assessment and planning, network architecture and design, and governance-related services. The technology implementation services include application development, legacy asset management, information management, and testing. The application outsourcing services include application and platform management, infrastructure management, and software quality assurance management. The company generates the majority of revenue from North America.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for VRTU:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $29.40 (USD) for VRTU:NAS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

VRTU:NAS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $29.40 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 9.04 $36.59 $24.25
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $24.73 $35.91
Tax Rate 0.15 $32.00 $26.79
Cash Flow 112,399,480 $27.00 $31.79
Capital Expenditures -12,783,400 $29.15 $29.64
Long Term Debt 190,027,000 $29.71 $29.08

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $17.17 (USD) for VRTU:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $60.64 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were CACI International (CACI:NYS), NCR (NCR:NYS), Insight Enterprises (NSIT:NAS), Science Applications Intl (SAIC:NYS) and Xerox (XRX:NYS).

Company VRTU:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($0.55) (USD)
Book Value/Share $12.83 (USD)
Sales/Share $37.84 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $2.18 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $2.53 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$0.00 (USD) -21.6
$43.07 (USD) -51.0
$19.29 (USD) -8.4
$6.68 (USD) -15.2
$22.57 (USD) 24.8
VRTU:NAS Ratios Used Average Values CACI:NYS NCR:NYS NSIT:NAS SAIC:NYS XRX:NYS
0.00 PE Ratio 107.82 10.78 0.00 11.23 14.06 395.20
3.32 PB Ratio 3.36 1.63 6.14 1.53 6.57 0.91
1.13 PS Ratio 0.51 0.80 0.44 0.21 0.60 0.50
19.58 PCF Ratio 7.60 11.09 4.41 5.54 11.23 5.72
20.79 EV to EBITDA 8.92 10.31 10.34 6.21 10.93 6.79

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $51.06 (USD) for VRTU:NAS

Company VRTU:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($0.55) (USD)
Book Value/Share $12.83 (USD)
Sales/Share $37.84 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $2.18 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $2.53 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$0.00 (USD) 0
$38.21 (USD) 0
$58.89 (USD) 0
$60.08 (USD) 0
$47.06 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 31.39
PB Ratio 2.98
PS Ratio 1.56
PCF Ratio 27.62
EV to EBITDA 18.58

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  VRTU:NAS for the last 10 years was  2.90

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  VRTU:NAS and generated a book value of  $16.59 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $48.12 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 2 analysts that provide a valuation for VRTU:NAS. The 2 analysts have a concensus valuation for VRTU:NAS for 2020 of $63.00 (USD).

VRTU:NAS Virtusa

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
2 0 0 5.0000 Buy 2019-1-9

Current Price: 46.24 USD

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2019 2020
Mean EPS 2.51 2.78
# EPS Analysts 2 1
Mean Revenue 1,250.60 1,375.70
# Revenue Analysts 1 1
Mean Target Price 63.00
Mean Cash Flow
Mean EBITDA
Mean Net Income
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate 70.40 32.00
Mean Growth Rate 20.00
Mean Capital Expenditure

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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