Haynes International (HAYN:NAS) Fundamental Valuation Report

Fundamental Valuation Report

Haynes International(HAYN:NAS)

Industrials:Metal Fabrication

This Report was generated using the valuation tools available on StockCalc.com. For a free 30 day trial click here.

Close Price/Date
$35.87 (USD) 16/11/2018

Weighted Valuation
$47.64 (USD)

Overall Rating
Undervalued by 32.8%

Valuation Models Analyst Consensus: $50.00 (USD)
(in order of importance) Comparables: $48.24 (USD)
Adjusted Book Value: $39.36 (USD)
Valuation Methods This company is:
Cash Flow: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation
Comparable Company: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation
Asset: Undervalued on an Asset Valuation

Company Overview (HAYN:NAS USD)

Price 35.87
Range 29.84 – 36.60
52 week 28.39 – 44.31
Open 31.94
Vol / Avg. 206740/71826
Mkt cap 448.54M
P/E 0.00
Div/yield 0.88/0.02
EPS -1.75
Shares 12.5M
Beta 1.47

Company Description

Haynes International Inc is one of the largest producers of high-performance nickel and cobalt-based alloys in flat product form such as sheet, coil and plate forms. The company is focused on developing, manufacturing, marketing and distributing technologically advanced, high-performance alloys, which are sold primarily in the aerospace, chemical processing, and industrial gas turbine industries. The products consist of high-temperature resistant alloys, or HTA products, and corrosion resistant alloys, or CRA products. The company has manufacturing facilities in Kokomo, Indiana; Arcadia, Louisiana; and Mountain Home, North Carolina.

Valuation Details

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for HAYN:NAS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of ($15.98) (USD) for HAYN:NAS

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $37.20 (USD) for HAYN:NAS. We also generated a valuation of $48.24 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were DMC Global (BOOM:NAS), Global Brass and Copper (BRSS:NYS), Mueller Industries (MLI:NYS) and NCI Building Systems (NCS:NYS).

Company HAYN:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($1.75) (USD)
Book Value/Share $24.53 (USD)
Sales/Share $33.33 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share ($0.96) (USD)
EBITDA/Share $1.61 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$0.00 (USD) 58.4
$85.68 (USD) -30.4
$27.75 (USD) -13.4
($0.69) (USD) -7.1
$17.58 (USD) 65.7
HAYN:NAS Ratios Used Average Values BOOM:NAS BRSS:NYS MLI:NYS NCS:NYS
0.00 PE Ratio 22.17 43.31 12.85 16.79 15.71
1.18 PB Ratio 3.49 4.81 3.98 2.47 2.71
0.87 PS Ratio 0.83 1.92 0.41 0.57 0.43
0.00 PCF Ratio 17.76 43.72 8.00 12.38 6.95
37.85 EV to EBITDA 10.91 18.27 7.38 9.65 8.33

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $32.40 (USD) for HAYN:NAS

Company HAYN:NAS End Date Value
Earnings/Share ($1.75) (USD)
Book Value/Share $24.53 (USD)
Sales/Share $33.33 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share ($0.96) (USD)
EBITDA/Share $1.61 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$0.00 (USD) 0
$35.87 (USD) 0
$36.85 (USD) 0
$0.00 (USD) 0
$24.49 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 30.07
PB Ratio 1.46
PS Ratio 1.11
PCF Ratio 12.67
EV to EBITDA 15.20

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  HAYN:NAS for the last 10 years was  1.48

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  HAYN:NAS and generated a book value of  $26.65 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $39.36 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 1 analysts that provide a valuation for HAYN:NAS. The 1 analysts have a concensus valuation for HAYN:NAS for 2019 of $50.00 (USD).

HAYN:NAS Haynes International

No analyst recommendation
Current Price: not available

No analyst consensus

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.

The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).

The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.

Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.

With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.

If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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