Shutterstock (SSTK:NYS) Fundamental Valuation Report


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Shutterstock $50.29 (USD) Close Price as of 23/02/2018

Based on the analysis conducted in this report, Shutterstock, (SSTK:NYS) is found to be  Overvalued.

Company Shutterstock
Symbol:Exchange SSTK:NYS
Industry Technology:Internet Content & Information
Close Price/Date $50.29 (USD) 23/02/2018
Weighted Average Valuation $43.97 (USD)
Summary SSTK:NYS is found to be  Overvalued by 12.6% using the 3 valuation models shown below.
Valuation Models Used Analyst Consensus: $38.00 (USD)
(in order of importance) Adjusted Book Value: $51.49 (USD)
Multiples: $46.83 (USD)
Valuation Methods Analysis This company is:
Cash Flow Basis: Overvalued on a Cash Flow Valuation basis
Comparable Company Basis: Undervalued on a Comparable Valuation basis
Asset Basis: Fairly valued on an Asset Valuation basis

Valuation Details

Shutterstock Valuations

Summary chart

 We have up to 6 valuation points for each company. Details are at the bottom of the report.

Discounted Cash Flow and Sensitivity Analysis for SSTK:NYS

Using a discounted cash flow model we generated an intrinsic value of $17.72 (USD) for SSTK:NYS

Sensitivity Analysis

(showing how changes in the input variables impact the DCF calculation)

SSTK:NYS Current Values Valuation If Dropped * Valuation If Raised *
Calculated Value: $17.72 1% 5% 1% 5%
WACC (or Ke) 14.26 $19.48 $16.25
Terminal Growth Rate 3.00 $16.55 $19.11
Tax Rate 0.40 $18.77 $16.67
Cash Flow 92,622,422 $17.09 $18.35
Capital Expenditures 0 $17.72 $17.72
Long Term Debt 0 $17.72 $17.72

* Changes are absolute: ex WACC from 8% to 7%

Comparables Model

Using similar companies and price based ratios we generated a valuation of $81.46 (USD) for SSTK:NYS. We also generated a valuation of $39.67 (USD) using other metrics and comparables.
The comparable companies were CarGurus (CARG:NAS), Groupon (GRPN:NAS), Liberty Expedia Holdings (LEXEB:NAS), Liberty Ventures Gr (LVNTA:NAS) and Yelp (YELP:NYS)

Company SSTK:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $0.47 (USD)
Book Value/Share $9.05 (USD)
Sales/Share $15.79 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $3.06 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $1.75 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor (%)
$54.20 (USD) -1.2
$37.99 (USD) 79.7
$68.65 (USD) 7.2
$49.61 (USD) 28.5
$74.55 (USD) 98.7
SSTK:NYS Ratios Used Average Values CARG:NAS GRPN:NAS LEXEB:NAS LVNTA:NAS YELP:NYS
107.00 PE Ratio 115.31 0.00 147.33 0.00 6.30 192.30
5.55 PB Ratio 4.20 0.00 9.89 1.09 1.85 3.96
3.19 PS Ratio 22.73 11.70 0.88 0.28 96.25 4.53
16.43 PCF Ratio 50.09 185.65 18.60 1.60 23.08 21.54
24.16 EV to EBITDA 42.55 101.60 9.43 0.00 5.23 53.93

Multiples

Using a multiples approach we generated a valuation of  $46.83 (USD) for SSTK:NYS

Company SSTK:NYS End Date Value
Earnings/Share $0.47 (USD)
Book Value/Share $9.05 (USD)
Sales/Share $15.79 (USD)
Cash Flow/Share $3.06 (USD)
EBITDA/Share $1.75 (USD)
Price Based on Comps Adjustment Factor
$32.01 (USD) 0
$51.44 (USD) 0
$56.04 (USD) 0
$56.02 (USD) 0
$38.64 (USD) 0
Ratios Ratio Average
PE Ratio 68.11
PB Ratio 5.68
PS Ratio 3.55
PCF Ratio 18.30
EV to EBITDA 22.05

Adjusted Book Value versus Historical Price to Book

The average the Price to Book ratio for  SSTK:NYS for the last 6 years was  5.68

We ran the Adjusted Book Value for  SSTK:NYS and generated a book value of  $9.06 (USD)
By multiplying these we get an adjusted valuation of  $51.49 (USD)

Analyst Data

In the Stockcalc database there are 2 analysts that provide a valuation for SSTK:NYS. The 2 analysts have a concensus valuation for SSTK:NYS for 2018 of $38.00 (USD).

SSTK:NYS Shutterstock

Analyst Recommendation
Buy Hold Sell Rating
(of 5)
Guidance As Of
0 2 0 3.0000 Hold 2018-2-22

Current Price: not available

Analyst Consensus
USD Millions 2018 2019
Mean EPS 1.23 0.99
# EPS Analysts 2 1
Mean Revenue 607.40 664.50
# Revenue Analysts 1 1
Mean Target Price 38.00
Mean Cash Flow
Mean EBITDA
Mean Net Income 37.40 35.20
Mean Debt Outstanding
Mean Tax Rate 34.00 33.00
Mean Growth Rate
Mean Capital Expenditure 50.10

Company Overview (SSTK:NYS USD)

Price 50.29
Range 46.83 – 51.49
52 week 31.50 – 50.29
Open 47.50
Vol / Avg. 886998/307965
Mkt cap 1.74B
P/E 107.00
Div/yield 0.00/0.00
EPS 0.47
Shares 34.66M
Beta 1.48
Summary chart

Detailed Company Description

Shutterstock Inc operates marketplace and provides commercial digital imagery including licensed photographs, vectors, illustrations and video clips; and commercial music including music tracks and sound effects.

Explanation of Valuation Models

We have up to 6 valuation points for each company in the database.
The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) valuation is a cash flow model where cash flow projections are discounted back to the present to calculate value per share. DCF is a common valuation technique especially for companies undergoing irregular cash flows such as resource companies (mining, forestry, oil and gas) going though price cycles or smaller companies about to generate cash flow (junior exploration companies, junior pharma, technology firms…).
The Price Comparables valuation is the result of valuing the company we are looking at on the basis of ratios from selected comparable companies: Price to Earnings, Price to Book, Price to Sales, Price to Cash Flow, Enterprise Value (EV) to EBITDA. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.
We have included the Other Comparables as a way to value companies that cannot be valued using Earnings based ratios. This technique is very useful for companies still experiencing negative cash flows such as mining exploration firms. We use Cash/Share, Book Value/Share, MarketCap, 1 Year Return, NetPPE as the ratios here. Each of these ratios for the selected comparable companies are averaged and multiplied by the values for the company we are interested in to calculate a value per share for our selected company.
Multiples are similar to Price comparables where we look at current or historic ratios for the company in question to assess what it should be worth today based on those historic ratios. We use the same 5 ratios as in the price comparables and value the company with its historic averages.
With Adjusted Book Value (ABV) we calculate the book value per share for the company based on its balance sheet and multiply that book value per share by its historical price to book ratio to calculate a value per share.
If we have Analyst coverage for the company we use the consensus target price here.

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